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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Little Havana Eviction Risk: Elevated , Miami

Tract 12086005409 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,768 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

For landlords sizing up Little Havana in Miami, census tract 12086005409 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.8/10. On the national scale it ranks #26,092 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

74% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,148 a month against an average household income of $22,091 a year, roughly 62% of income at the averages. Renters make up 92% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 68% Stable renters 24% Owners 8%
Tract context
Occupied units1,860
Renter share92.3%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate43.1%
Median income$22,091

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 26 tracts In Little Havana
Very High
Within parent city
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 132 tracts In Miami
Very High
Within county
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7709, -80.2268 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Havana scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.1% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,148 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Little Havana compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Havana risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 005409Miami: 3.13.1Miamiparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 99

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 161Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 5.44%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.9%Peak (2015)
  • 64Filings in 2016 (latest validated)

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 186Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.6Avg monthly (observed)
  • 4.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.59×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 3 filings (0.51× baseline)2020-02-01: 4 filings (0.86× baseline)2020-03-01: 4 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-06-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2020-07-01: 3 filings (0.90× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-09-01: 4 filings (0.83× baseline)2020-10-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (0.64× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-04-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.30× baseline)2021-08-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2021-09-01: 5 filings (1.04× baseline)2021-10-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-11-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2021-12-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2022-01-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2022-02-01: 3 filings (0.64× baseline)2022-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2022-05-01: 4 filings (0.69× baseline)2022-06-01: 5 filings (1.11× baseline)2022-07-01: 5 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-08-01: 10 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-09-01: 4 filings (0.83× baseline)2022-10-01: 8 filings (1.92× baseline)2022-11-01: 3 filings (1.00× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2023-02-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-04-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2023-05-01: 3 filings (0.51× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (0.89× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.90× baseline)2023-08-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.62× baseline)2023-10-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2023-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-01-01: 4 filings (0.69× baseline)2024-02-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-04-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2024-05-01: 4 filings (0.69× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.44× baseline)2024-07-01: 2 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (0.83× baseline)2024-10-01: 3 filings (0.72× baseline)2024-11-01: 2 filings (0.67× baseline)2024-12-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (0.34× baseline)2025-02-01: 10 filings (2.14× baseline)2025-03-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-04-01: 2 filings (0.50× baseline)2025-05-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (0.67× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-09-01: 1 filings (0.21× baseline)2025-10-01: 5 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Havana. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Havana

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Miami eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 99th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086005409

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005409?

Census tract 12086005409 in the Little Havana neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086005409?

Median gross rent is $1,148/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005409?

43.1% of residents in tract 12086005409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,768.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005409?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 87th, minority 99th, housing 98th.
Q5

Is tract 12086005409 considered part of Little Havana?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005409 fall within Little Havana (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12086005409?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 161 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 12086005409 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.44% of renter households, peaking at 6.9% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12086005409 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.59× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings dropped sharply, likely a moratorium effect. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12086005409 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086005409 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 12086005409 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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