Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 12086005305 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,898 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi
Census tract 12086005305 covers part of the Downtown Miami area of Miami, FL, and scores 6/10 on landlord eviction risk. Set annual rent against average income of $28,460 and the ratio lands at 55%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,795
Renter share94.3%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate43.0%
Median income$28,460
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7717, -80.2111 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Miami scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,310 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Downtown Miami compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 97%Racial/ethnic minority
- 96%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 71%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 219Total filings 2020-21
- 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
- 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 41.6% against 11.3% nationally.
The poverty rate is 43%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 94% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $1,310 a month, rents run 25% under what the rest of Miami commands. Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
Nationally it ranks #18,163 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086005305
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005305?
Census tract 12086005305 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086005305?
Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005305?
43.0% of residents in tract 12086005305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,898.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005305?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 97th, minority 97th, housing 96th.
Q5
Is tract 12086005305 considered part of Downtown Miami?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005305 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086005305 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086005305 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086005305 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12086005305 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Overtown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001501
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086002404
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Overtown
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086001704
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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