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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 12086005305 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 3,898 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Census tract 12086005305 belongs to the Downtown Miami area of Miami, Florida. It is home to 3,898 residents and scores 5.8/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 69% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 62% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,310 a month against an average household income of $28,460 a year, roughly 55% of income at the averages. About 94% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 58% Stable renters 36% Owners 6%
Tract context
Occupied units1,795
Renter share94.3%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate43.0%
Median income$28,460

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 11 tracts In Downtown Miami
Very High
Within parent city
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 132 tracts In Miami
Very High
Within county
99 th percentile
Rank, 99th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 706 tracts In Miami-Dade
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Miami and the region

Centroid at 25.7717, -80.2111 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Miami scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
43.0% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,310 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0

How Downtown Miami compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Downtown Miami risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.36.3This tracttract 005305Miami: 3.13.1Miamiparent cityCounty: 3.93.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 100

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 219Total filings 2020-21
  • 3.0Avg monthly (observed)
  • 2.9Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 1.03×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (0.60× baseline)2020-04-01: 1 filings (0.37× baseline)2020-05-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2020-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2020-08-01: 3 filings (0.82× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.41× baseline)2020-10-01: 4 filings (2.40× baseline)2020-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-12-01: 1 filings (0.46× baseline)2021-01-01: 1 filings (0.35× baseline)2021-02-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-03-01: 1 filings (0.30× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2021-05-01: 1 filings (0.40× baseline)2021-06-01: 2 filings (0.63× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.25× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (0.82× baseline)2021-09-01: 11 filings (2.28× baseline)2021-10-01: 6 filings (3.59× baseline)2021-11-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2021-12-01: 3 filings (1.38× baseline)2022-01-01: 3 filings (1.06× baseline)2022-02-01: 7 filings (3.00× baseline)2022-03-01: 5 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2022-05-01: 3 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-06-01: 1 filings (0.32× baseline)2022-07-01: 9 filings (2.25× baseline)2022-08-01: 5 filings (1.36× baseline)2022-09-01: 5 filings (1.04× baseline)2022-10-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2022-11-01: 5 filings (2.15× baseline)2022-12-01: 2 filings (0.92× baseline)2023-01-01: 6 filings (2.12× baseline)2023-02-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2023-03-01: 7 filings (2.10× baseline)2023-04-01: 9 filings (3.37× baseline)2023-05-01: 11 filings (4.40× baseline)2023-06-01: 4 filings (1.26× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2023-08-01: 4 filings (1.09× baseline)2023-09-01: 7 filings (1.45× baseline)2023-10-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2023-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (1.38× baseline)2024-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-02-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2024-03-01: 2 filings (0.60× baseline)2024-04-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2024-05-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-06-01: 2 filings (0.63× baseline)2024-07-01: 5 filings (1.25× baseline)2024-08-01: 2 filings (0.54× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (0.83× baseline)2024-10-01: 2 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 7 filings (3.23× baseline)2025-01-01: 1 filings (0.35× baseline)2025-02-01: 3 filings (1.29× baseline)2025-03-01: 4 filings (1.20× baseline)2025-04-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.80× baseline)2025-06-01: 1 filings (0.32× baseline)2025-07-01: 3 filings (0.75× baseline)2025-08-01: 4 filings (1.09× baseline)2025-09-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-10-01: 3 filings (1.80× baseline)2025-11-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2025-12-01: 5 filings (2.30× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Miami eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Miami-Dade County average of 5.3 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

During 2020 and 2021, eviction filings here ran at about 1.03x the pre-COVID monthly baseline, roughly back to the pre-pandemic baseline.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12086005305

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086005305?

Census tract 12086005305 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12086005305?

Median gross rent is $1,310/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12086005305?

43.0% of residents in tract 12086005305 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,898.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12086005305?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 97th, minority 97th, housing 96th.
Q5

Is tract 12086005305 considered part of Downtown Miami?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086005305 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

Did eviction filings in tract 12086005305 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 1.03× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings returned near baseline. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7

How does tract 12086005305 compare to Miami overall?

Tract 12086005305 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 3.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 12086005305 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Miami

Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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