Within neighborhood
90
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Downtown Miami Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 12086003605 · Miami-Dade, FL · pop 2,773 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
12086003605 is a census tract in the Downtown Miami area of Miami, FL. It scores 6/10 for landlords. It is home to 2,773 residents. 43% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 57%
Stable renters 31%
Owners 12%
Tract context
Occupied units1,541
Renter share87.8%
SVI overall0.90
Poverty rate36.1%
Median income$22,433
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
96
th percentile
Very High
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
98
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Miami and the region
Centroid at 25.7705, -80.2018 · click any tract to drill in
Why Downtown Miami scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
36.1% poverty · this tract
9.0
Supply constraint
$1,352 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Miami
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Miami
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Miami
5.0
How Downtown Miami compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 90
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 85%Socioeconomic
- 90%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 74%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 58%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)
- 176Total filings 2020-21
- 2.4Avg monthly (observed)
- 1.8Pre-pandemic baseline
- 1.32×Ratio to baseline
Pandemic filings ran above baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Miami as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Downtown Miami. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Downtown Miami
Set annual rent against average income of $22,433 and the ratio lands at 72%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Adults with no health insurance runs 37.0% against 11.3% nationally. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 9/10.
This is renter territory: 88% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Average gross rent is $1,352, 23% below the Miami average. Against the Miami-Dade County average of 4.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.4 points. Cost burden runs 65% here against 57.9% across Miami-Dade County.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Miami. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12086003605
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12086003605?
Census tract 12086003605 in the Downtown Miami neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12086003605?
Median gross rent is $1,352/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12086003605?
36.1% of residents in tract 12086003605 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,773.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12086003605?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 85th, household 90th, minority 93th, housing 74th.
Q5
Is tract 12086003605 considered part of Downtown Miami?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12086003605 fall within Downtown Miami (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
Did eviction filings in tract 12086003605 drop during COVID?
Pandemic-era filings ran 1.32× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran above pre-pandemic norms. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Miami eviction risk), 2020-2021.
Q7
How does tract 12086003605 compare to Miami overall?
Tract 12086003605 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Miami at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Miami eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 12086003605 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Miami
Top eight tracts in Miami ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
Little Haiti
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
12086005706
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Brickell
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Little Havana
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Wynwood
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · FL
Downtown Miami
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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