New Malibu Eviction Risk: Moderate , Orlando

66% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Orange County average of 51.4%. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $45,488, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10.

66% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The poverty rate is 27%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.2/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Orange County average of 4.2.

At $1,409 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Orlando commands. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.3% against 11.3% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 1,666 evictions over 9 years of observation.

Filings peaked in 2007 at 23.0% of renter households. In a typical year about 12.6% of renter households face a filing.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.