Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #69,776 of 84,120 nationally
Sea Colony Eviction Risk: Lower , Butler Beach
Tract 12109021403 · St. Johns, FL · pop 1,948 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12109021403 (the Sea Colony neighborhood of Butler Beach, Florida) comes in at 3.2/10, the Lower tier. That is riskier than about 3% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 17% of renter households, a modest level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,687 a month against an average household income of $74,119 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.
Risk score
2.3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%
Stable renters 14%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,136
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$74,119
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
20
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Butler Beach and the region
Centroid at 29.8074, -81.2626 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sea Colony scores 2.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Butler Beach
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,687 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butler Beach
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butler Beach
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butler Beach
5.4
How Sea Colony compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 33%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 26%Racial/ethnic minority
- 37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 5 yrs
- 1.52%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.9%Peak (2006)
- 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sea Colony
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Butler Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the St. Johns County average of 3.9 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 1.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 1.9% of renter households in 2006.
For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109021403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021403?
Census tract 12109021403 in the Sea Colony neighborhood scores 2.3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109021403?
Median gross rent is $1,687/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021403?
5.8% of residents in tract 12109021403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 5th, minority 26th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 12109021403 considered part of Sea Colony?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109021403 fall within Sea Colony (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109021403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109021403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.52% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12109021403 compare to Butler Beach overall?
Tract 12109021403 scores 2.3/10, right in line with the parent city of Butler Beach at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butler Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Butler Beach
Top eight tracts in Butler Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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