Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Sea Colony Eviction Risk: Moderate , Butler Beach
Tract 12109021403 ·
St. Johns, FL · pop 1,948 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi
Census tract 12109021403 covers part of the Sea Colony area of Butler Beach, FL, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,948. Cost burden runs 17% here against 53.0% across St. Johns County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 14%Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,136
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$74,119
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Sea Colony
Moderate
Within parent city
0th percentile
#2 of 2 tracts In Butler Beach
Very Low
Within county
71th percentile
#15 of 50 tracts In St. Johns
Elevated
Within state
60th percentile
#2,028 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Butler Beach and the region
Centroid at 29.8074, -81.2626 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sea Colony scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Butler Beach
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,687 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butler Beach
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butler Beach
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butler Beach
5.4
How Sea Colony compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 18
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
33%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
26%Racial/ethnic minority
37%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
14Total filings over 5 yrs
1.52%Avg annual filing rate
1.9%Peak (2006)
3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year2006 to 2018
Filings dropped 25% over the past 5 months.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sea Colony
The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 14 evictions over 5 years of observation. Filings peaked in 2006 at 1.9% of renter households.
In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing. Nationally it ranks #45,786 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
Social vulnerability reads 2.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the St. Johns County average of 3.7 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109021403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021403?
Census tract 12109021403 in the Sea Colony neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109021403?
Median gross rent is $1,687/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 17% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021403?
5.8% of residents in tract 12109021403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,948.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 5th, minority 26th, housing 37th.
Q5
Is tract 12109021403 considered part of Sea Colony?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109021403 fall within Sea Colony (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109021403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109021403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.52% of renter households, peaking at 1.9% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12109021403 compare to Butler Beach overall?
Tract 12109021403 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Butler Beach at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butler Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Butler Beach
Top eight tracts in Butler Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.