Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #61,757 of 84,120 nationally
Butler Beach Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12109021404 · St. Johns, FL · pop 2,788 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Butler Beach
Butler Beach anchors census tract 12109021404, which lands at 4.4/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 21% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 49% of renter households, a severe level, and 43% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,674 a month while the average household earns $83,452 a year, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 13% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
2.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,398
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$83,452
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
National
27
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Butler Beach and the region
Centroid at 29.7957, -81.2692 · click any tract to drill in
Why Butler Beach scores 2.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Butler Beach
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butler Beach
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butler Beach
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butler Beach
5.4
How Butler Beach compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 14
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 24%Socioeconomic
- 9%Household composition
- 5%Racial/ethnic minority
- 34%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 51Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.99%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2009)
- 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 56% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Butler Beach
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 5.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Butler Beach, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the St. Johns County average of 3.9 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 14th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 51 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 5.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2009.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109021404
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021404?
Census tract 12109021404 in Butler Beach scores 2.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109021404?
Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021404?
13.9% of residents in tract 12109021404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,788.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021404?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 9th, minority 5th, housing 34th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109021404?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 51 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109021404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.99% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12109021404 compare to Butler Beach overall?
Tract 12109021404 scores 2.8/10, higher than the parent city of Butler Beach at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butler Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Butler Beach
Top eight tracts in Butler Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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