Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally

Butler Beach Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 12109021404 · St. Johns, FL · pop 2,788 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Butler Beach

With a score of 4.8/10, tract 12109021404 in Butler Beach, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,788 residents. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 7% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,398
Renter share13.4%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$83,452

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Butler Beach
Very High
Within county
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 50 tracts In St. Johns
Very High
Within state
76 th percentile
Rank, 76th percentileLowHigh
#1,236 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
National
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#35,669 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Butler Beach and the region

Centroid at 29.7957, -81.2692 · click any tract to drill in

Why Butler Beach scores 4.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Butler Beach
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,674 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Butler Beach
5.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Butler Beach
3.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Butler Beach
5.4

How Butler Beach compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Butler Beach risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.8This tracttract 0214043.5Butler Beachparent city3.7Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 51Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 4.99%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2009)
  • 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2006 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12109021404
Filings dropped 56% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Butler Beach

The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1.1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.

Against the St. Johns County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. The filing record is not thin: 51 evictions over 5 years of observation. Against St. Johns County at 53.0%, 49% of renters here are cost-burdened.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 3.1/10. The worst year on record was 2009, when 8.5% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 58th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 13% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $1,674, close to the Butler Beach average.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $83,452.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 12109021404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021404?

Census tract 12109021404 in Butler Beach scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12109021404?

Median gross rent is $1,674/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021404?

13.9% of residents in tract 12109021404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,788.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 24th, household 9th, minority 5th, housing 34th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12109021404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 51 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12109021404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.99% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12109021404 compare to Butler Beach overall?

Tract 12109021404 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Butler Beach at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Butler Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Butler Beach

Top eight tracts in Butler Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related