Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #63,308 of 84,120 nationally
Spanish Oaks Eviction Risk: Lower , St. Augustine Beach
Tract 12109021409 · St. Johns, FL · pop 3,140 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Census tract 12109021409 covers part of the Spanish Oaks area of St. Augustine Beach, FL, and scores 3.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,140 residents. 32% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,345
Renter share22.8%
SVI overall0.27
Poverty rate7.9%
Median income$109,420
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
34
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across St. Augustine Beach and the region
Centroid at 29.8537, -81.2700 · click any tract to drill in
Why Spanish Oaks scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from St. Augustine Beach
4.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.7
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
7.9% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,643 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from St. Augustine Beach
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from St. Augustine Beach
2.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from St. Augustine Beach
1.7
How Spanish Oaks compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 27
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 61%Socioeconomic
- 6%Household composition
- 14%Racial/ethnic minority
- 28%Housing & transportation
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Spanish Oaks
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.
Against St. Johns County at 53.0%, 58% of renters here are cost-burdened. Average gross rent is $1,643, 9% below the St. Augustine Beach average. On the national scale it lands near the 25th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 3.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 0.9 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. It tracks the St. Johns County average of 3.7 closely.
Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $109,420.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12109021409
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12109021409?
Census tract 12109021409 in the Spanish Oaks neighborhood scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12109021409?
Median gross rent is $1,643/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12109021409?
7.9% of residents in tract 12109021409 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,140.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12109021409?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 27th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 6th, minority 14th, housing 28th.
Q5
Is tract 12109021409 considered part of Spanish Oaks?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12109021409 fall within Spanish Oaks (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How does tract 12109021409 compare to St. Augustine Beach overall?
Tract 12109021409 scores 3.2/10, right in line with the parent city of St. Augustine Beach at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from St. Augustine Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in St. Augustine Beach
Top eight tracts in St. Augustine Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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