South Poinsettia Eviction Risk: Lower , Southgate

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 9/10. Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.3/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.

On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10. The filing record is not thin: 83 evictions over 5 years of observation.

The worst year on record was 2018, when 4.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 33% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Only 23% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,633, close to the Southgate average. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $86,920.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.