Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Kensington Park Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115001202 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,087 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Kensington Park
12115001202 is a census tract in Kensington Park, FL. It scores 3/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,087. 34% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well below the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,430
Renter share27.7%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate5.7%
Median income$80,786
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Kensington Park and the region
Centroid at 27.3591, -82.4927 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kensington Park scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Kensington Park
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
5.7% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$1,342 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kensington Park
3.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kensington Park
6.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kensington Park
3.6
How Kensington Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 41
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 47%Socioeconomic
- 59%Household composition
- 61%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 57Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.42%Avg annual filing rate
- 6.4%Peak (2015)
- 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kensington Park
Average gross rent is $1,342, 38% above the Kensington Park average. The main counterweight is eviction-process difficulty at 1.3/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.4/10.
The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Court records carry 57 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
It sits 0.8 points below the Sarasota County average of 3.8. Filings peaked in 2015 at 6.4% of renter households. In a typical year about 4.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001202
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001202?
Census tract 12115001202 in Kensington Park scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001202?
Median gross rent is $1,342/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 34% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001202?
5.7% of residents in tract 12115001202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,087.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001202?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 47th, household 59th, minority 61th, housing 19th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001202?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 57 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001202 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.42% of renter households, peaking at 6.4% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115001202 compare to Kensington Park overall?
Tract 12115001202 scores 3/10, right in line with the parent city of Kensington Park at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kensington Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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