Within parent city
0
th percentile
Very Low
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Sarasota Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115001403 · Sarasota, FL · pop 6,806 · 3% of tract blocks fall in Lake Sarasota
Census tract 12115001403 covers part of Lake Sarasota, FL, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. 23% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units3,130
Renter share8.6%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$115,291
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
21
th percentile
Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lake Sarasota and the region
Centroid at 27.2783, -82.4092 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Sarasota scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$2,197 rent vs county FMR
6.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lake Sarasota
4.4
How Lake Sarasota compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 14%Socioeconomic
- 18%Household composition
- 17%Racial/ethnic minority
- 24%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 20Total filings over 4 yrs
- 2.84%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.7%Peak (2018)
- 9Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Sarasota
The clearest offset is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.6/10.
Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.7/10. The voucher gap is 19.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Court records carry 20 eviction filings across 4 observed years. Against the Sarasota County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
At $2,197 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Lake Sarasota commands. Filings peaked in 2018 at 3.7% of renter households.
In a typical year about 2.8% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001403
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001403?
Census tract 12115001403 in Lake Sarasota scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001403?
Median gross rent is $2,197/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 23% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001403?
6.9% of residents in tract 12115001403 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,806.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001403?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 14th, household 18th, minority 17th, housing 24th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001403?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 20 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 12115001403 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.84% of renter households, peaking at 3.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12115001403 compare to Lake Sarasota overall?
Tract 12115001403 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Lake Sarasota at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lake Sarasota; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lake Sarasota
Top eight tracts in Lake Sarasota ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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