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Neighborhood · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Lake Tippecanoe Eviction Risk: Moderate , Bee Ridge

Tract 12115001504 · Sarasota, FL · pop 2,743 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 4.1/10, tract 12115001504 in the Lake Tippecanoe area of Sarasota Springs, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,743 residents. The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 11% Owners 76%
Tract context
Occupied units1,103
Renter share24.5%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$90,430

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 6 tracts In Lake Tippecanoe
Very High
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Bee Ridge
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#2,145 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bee Ridge and the region

Centroid at 27.3037, -82.4801 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lake Tippecanoe scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bee Ridge
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
$1,969 rent vs county FMR
5.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bee Ridge
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bee Ridge
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bee Ridge
7.0

How Lake Tippecanoe compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Lake Tippecanoe risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0015043.5Bee Ridgeparent city3.8Countyavg tract in county4.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 30

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 66Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.45%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.8%Peak (2015)
  • 10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 12115001504
Filings dropped 29% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lake Tippecanoe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lake Tippecanoe

Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10.

11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 66 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2015, when 7.8% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 24% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. 54% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely. Average gross rent is $1,969, close to the Sarasota Springs average. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $90,430.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001504

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001504?

Census tract 12115001504 in the Lake Tippecanoe neighborhood scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001504?

Median gross rent is $1,969/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001504?

13.4% of residents in tract 12115001504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,743.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001504?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 34th, minority 42th, housing 12th.
Q5

Is tract 12115001504 considered part of Lake Tippecanoe?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115001504 fall within Lake Tippecanoe (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001504?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 66 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001504 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.45% of renter households, peaking at 7.8% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 12115001504 compare to Bee Ridge overall?

Tract 12115001504 scores 4.1/10, higher than the parent city of Bee Ridge at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bee Ridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bee Ridge

Top eight tracts in Bee Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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