Within neighborhood
60
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #54,273 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Tippecanoe Eviction Risk: Lower , Bee Ridge
Tract 12115001505 · Sarasota, FL · pop 4,335 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi
12115001505 is a census tract in the Lake Tippecanoe area of Sarasota Springs, FL. It scores 3.7/10 for landlords. Population here is 4,335. The severe-burden share is 35%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 75%
Tract context
Occupied units1,519
Renter share25.0%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$93,977
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Bee Ridge and the region
Centroid at 27.3042, -82.4614 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Tippecanoe scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Bee Ridge
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,074 rent vs county FMR
6.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bee Ridge
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bee Ridge
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bee Ridge
7.0
How Lake Tippecanoe compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 28
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 7%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 82Total filings over 5 yrs
- 4.13%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.1%Peak (2016)
- 13Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 19% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Tippecanoe. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Tippecanoe
The clearest offset is eviction-process difficulty at 1/10. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.3/10. Court records carry 82 eviction filings across 5 observed years.
The voucher gap is 12.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Filings peaked in 2016 at 4.1% of renter households.
In a typical year about 4.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 35th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Social vulnerability reads 3.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.
Average gross rent is $2,074, close to the Sarasota Springs average.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115001505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001505?
Census tract 12115001505 in the Lake Tippecanoe neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115001505?
Median gross rent is $2,074/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001505?
10.6% of residents in tract 12115001505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,335.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 39th, minority 51th, housing 7th.
Q5
Is tract 12115001505 considered part of Lake Tippecanoe?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115001505 fall within Lake Tippecanoe (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001505?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 82 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001505 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.13% of renter households, peaking at 4.1% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12115001505 compare to Bee Ridge overall?
Tract 12115001505 scores 3.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Bee Ridge at 3.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bee Ridge; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Bee Ridge
Top eight tracts in Bee Ridge ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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