Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally
Tract 12115002011 Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12115002011 · Sarasota, FL · pop 1,012
With a score of 4.1/10, tract 12115002011 in Sarasota County, FL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,012. about three-quarters of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well clear of the Sarasota County average of 50.3%.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 65% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units414
Renter share17.4%
SVI overall0.68
Poverty rate9.0%
Median income$60,104
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within state
58
th percentile
Elevated
National
44
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sarasota and the region
Centroid at 27.2546, -82.5227 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tract 12115002011 scores 4.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
State baseline
1.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
9.0% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
State baseline
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
State baseline
4.0
Housing court bias
State baseline
5.0
How Tract 12115002011 compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 68
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 67%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 72%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tract 12115002011
The main counterweight is state political climate at 1.5/10. Running cool, local political climate reads 1.5/10.
Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. That is riskier than roughly 44% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Model confidence here is 65%, lower than typical because some ACS inputs for this tract carry wide margins of error, so read the score as a band, not a point. It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002011
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002011?
Census tract 12115002011 in Sarasota scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002011?
9.0% of residents in tract 12115002011 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,012.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002011?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 68th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 51th, minority 48th, housing 72th.
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