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Census Tract · Ranked #76,223 of 84,120 nationally

Osprey Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002101 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,246

Osprey in Sarasota County anchors census tract 12115002101, which lands at 4.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

45% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,867 a month while the average household earns $101,291 a year, roughly 34% of income at the averages. Renters make up 11% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5% Stable renters 6% Owners 89%
Tract context
Occupied units1,407
Renter share10.9%
SVI overall0.08
Poverty rate2.8%
Median income$101,291

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Osprey
Very Low
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#107 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Very Low
Within state
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#4,659 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
9 th percentile
Rank, 9th percentileLowHigh
#76,223 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Osprey and the region

Centroid at 27.1904, -82.4757 · click any tract to drill in

Why Osprey scores 1.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Osprey
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
2.8% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,867 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Osprey
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Osprey
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Osprey
6.8

How Osprey compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Osprey risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.81.8This tracttract 002101Osprey: 2.32.3Ospreyparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 8

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Osprey

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Osprey, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and in line with the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 8th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002101?

Census tract 12115002101 in Osprey scores 1.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002101?

Median gross rent is $2,867/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002101?

2.8% of residents in tract 12115002101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,246.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 8th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 10th, household 39th, minority 10th, housing 11th.
Q5

How does tract 12115002101 compare to Osprey overall?

Tract 12115002101 scores 1.8/10, lower than the parent city of Osprey at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Osprey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Osprey

Top eight tracts in Osprey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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