Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #54,934 of 84,120 nationally
Osprey Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 12115002102 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,061 · 82% of tract blocks fall in Osprey
Eviction risk in Osprey in Sarasota County centers on tract 12115002102, which scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,061 residents. On the national scale it ranks #66,510 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 28% of renter households, a moderate level, and 6% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average household income is about $78,004 a year. Renters make up 17% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.2
Lower
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 83%
Tract context
Occupied units1,441
Renter share16.8%
SVI overall0.17
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$78,004
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
83
th percentile
High
Within state
47
th percentile
Moderate
National
35
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Osprey and the region
Centroid at 27.1870, -82.4871 · click any tract to drill in
Why Osprey scores 3.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Osprey
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Osprey
8.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Osprey
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Osprey
6.8
How Osprey compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 17
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 39%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 20%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Osprey
The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Osprey, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 17th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002102
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002102?
Census tract 12115002102 in Osprey scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002102?
16.9% of residents in tract 12115002102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,061.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002102?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 17th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 39th, minority 16th, housing 20th.
Q4
How does tract 12115002102 compare to Osprey overall?
Tract 12115002102 scores 3.2/10, higher than the parent city of Osprey at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Osprey; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Osprey
Top eight tracts in Osprey ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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