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Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Nokomis Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115002714 · Sarasota, FL · pop 5,585 · 32% of tract blocks fall in Nokomis

Nokomis is where census tract 12115002714 sits, home to 5,585 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 4.1/10. It lands near the 14th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

26% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a moderate level, and 20% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,755 monthly, set against $87,581 in average yearly household income, roughly 24% of income at the averages. About 10% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 7% Owners 90%
Tract context
Occupied units2,874
Renter share10.1%
SVI overall0.26
Poverty rate3.4%
Median income$87,581

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Nokomis
Moderate
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#86 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#4,242 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#71,178 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Nokomis and the region

Centroid at 27.1529, -82.4315 · click any tract to drill in

Why Nokomis scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Nokomis
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,755 rent vs county FMR
4.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Nokomis
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.8
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Nokomis
5.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Nokomis
7.2

How Nokomis compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Nokomis risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 002714Nokomis: 2.32.3Nokomisparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 26

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 61Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 5.33%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.9%Peak (2016)
  • 15Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150027142002: 13 filings (10.16/100 renter HHs)2003: 5 filings (3.91/100 renter HHs)2015: 12 filings (5.00/100 renter HHs)2016: 16 filings (3.90/100 renter HHs)2018: 15 filings (3.66/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 15% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Nokomis

The score leans hardest on rent-control risk at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Nokomis, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 61 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 5.3% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.9% of renter households in 2016.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 26th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115002714

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002714?

Census tract 12115002714 in Nokomis scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115002714?

Median gross rent is $1,755/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002714?

3.4% of residents in tract 12115002714 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,585.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002714?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 26th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 39th, minority 16th, housing 33th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002714?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 61 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002714 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.33% of renter households, peaking at 3.9% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115002714 compare to Nokomis overall?

Tract 12115002714 scores 2.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Nokomis at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Nokomis; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
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