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Census Tract · Ranked #71,178 of 84,120 nationally

Southgate Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 12115001601 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,820 · 57% of tract blocks fall in Southgate

Census tract 12115001601 belongs to Southgate in Sarasota County, Florida. It is home to 3,820 residents and scores 4.5/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #64,290 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,538 a month against an average household income of $81,112 a year, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 22% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 12% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,767
Renter share21.8%
SVI overall0.38
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$81,112

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Southgate
Very Low
Within county
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#88 of 122 tracts In Sarasota
Low
Within state
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#4,242 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
Very Low
National
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#71,178 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Southgate and the region

Centroid at 27.3125, -82.5028 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southgate scores 2.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Southgate
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$1,538 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Southgate
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Southgate
6.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Southgate
5.8

How Southgate compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southgate risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.22.2This tracttract 001601Southgate: 2.22.2Southgateparent cityCounty: 2.72.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 38

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 37Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 1.96%Avg annual filing rate
  • 3.2%Peak (2002)
  • 2Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 121150016012002: 11 filings (3.16/100 renter HHs)2003: 7 filings (2.01/100 renter HHs)2015: 10 filings (2.78/100 renter HHs)2016: 7 filings (1.42/100 renter HHs)2018: 2 filings (0.41/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 82% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southgate

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Southgate, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sarasota County average of 4.5 and below the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 37 eviction filings here over 5 tracked years, with about 2.0% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 3.2% of renter households in 2002.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 38th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12115001601

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115001601?

Census tract 12115001601 in Southgate scores 2.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12115001601?

Median gross rent is $1,538/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12115001601?

3.6% of residents in tract 12115001601 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,820.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12115001601?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 38th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 44th, minority 19th, housing 28th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115001601?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 37 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115001601 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.96% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 12115001601 compare to Southgate overall?

Tract 12115001601 scores 2.2/10, right in line with the parent city of Southgate at 2.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Southgate; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Southgate

Top eight tracts in Southgate ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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