Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #57,812 of 84,120 nationally
Venice East Eviction Risk: Lower , South Venice
Tract 12115002510 · Sarasota, FL · pop 3,584 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
12115002510 is a census tract in the Venice East area of South Venice, FL. It scores 3.5/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,584 residents. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3.5
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 71%
Tract context
Occupied units1,871
Renter share29.3%
SVI overall0.21
Poverty rate6.9%
Median income$79,040
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
44
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
42
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across South Venice and the region
Centroid at 27.0576, -82.3912 · click any tract to drill in
Why Venice East scores 3.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from South Venice
5.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
6.9% poverty · this tract
1.7
Supply constraint
$1,768 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from South Venice
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from South Venice
3.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from South Venice
6.6
How Venice East compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 21
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 20%Socioeconomic
- 61%Household composition
- 16%Racial/ethnic minority
- 19%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 47Total filings over 5 yrs
- 2.90%Avg annual filing rate
- 5.5%Peak (2002)
- 6Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 57% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Venice East. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Venice East
Pulling hardest the other way is state political climate at 1.5/10. On the softer side, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.7/10.
59% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Sarasota County average of 50.3%. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.7/10.
The filing record is not thin: 47 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2002, when 5.5% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 2.9% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 31% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Sarasota County average of 3.8 closely.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 12115002510
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12115002510?
Census tract 12115002510 in the Venice East neighborhood scores 3.5/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12115002510?
Median gross rent is $1,768/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12115002510?
6.9% of residents in tract 12115002510 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,584.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12115002510?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 21th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 61th, minority 16th, housing 19th.
Q5
Is tract 12115002510 considered part of Venice East?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12115002510 fall within Venice East (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12115002510?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 47 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 12115002510 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.90% of renter households, peaking at 5.5% in 2002. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12115002510 compare to South Venice overall?
Tract 12115002510 scores 3.5/10, right in line with the parent city of South Venice at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from South Venice; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in South Venice
Top eight tracts in South Venice ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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