Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #48,956 of 84,120 nationally
Pelican Bay Eviction Risk: Moderate , Daytona Beach
Tract 12127082411 · Volusia, FL · pop 3,979 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 12127082411 sits in the Pelican Bay area of Daytona Beach eviction risk, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4/10. It is home to 3,979 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,853
Renter share38.1%
SVI overall0.43
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$58,576
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
25
th percentile
Low
Within county
63
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
56
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Daytona Beach and the region
Centroid at 29.1480, -81.0578 · click any tract to drill in
Why Pelican Bay scores 4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Daytona Beach
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,663 rent vs county FMR
4.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Daytona Beach
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Daytona Beach
3.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Daytona Beach
3.5
How Pelican Bay compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 43
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 72%Socioeconomic
- 26%Household composition
- 36%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 32Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.24%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.1%Peak (2017)
- 4Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Pelican Bay. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Pelican Bay
Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Set annual rent against average income of $58,576 and the ratio lands at 34%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
At $1,663 a month, rents run 25% over what the rest of Daytona Beach commands. Court records carry 32 eviction filings across 3 observed years.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 3/10. The worst year on record was 2017, when 2.1% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 42% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 4.8/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 47% of renters.
It tracks the Volusia County average of 3.8 closely. 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 12127082411
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12127082411?
Census tract 12127082411 in the Pelican Bay neighborhood scores 4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12127082411?
Median gross rent is $1,663/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12127082411?
13.4% of residents in tract 12127082411 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,979.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12127082411?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 43th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 26th, minority 36th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 12127082411 considered part of Pelican Bay?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12127082411 fall within Pelican Bay (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12127082411?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 32 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12127082411 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.24% of renter households, peaking at 2.1% in 2017. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12127082411 compare to Daytona Beach overall?
Tract 12127082411 scores 4/10, higher than the parent city of Daytona Beach at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Daytona Beach eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Daytona Beach
Top eight tracts in Daytona Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · FL
12127081202
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12127081500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12127081600
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12127092500
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Holly Hill
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
12127081800
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Lakeside Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · FL
Lakeside Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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