Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Minorca Eviction Risk: Lower , New Smyrna Beach
Tract 12127082701 · Volusia, FL · pop 1,809 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Tract 12127082701 sits in the Minorca area of New Smyrna Beach, FL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 1,809 residents. The severe-burden share is 27%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4%
Stable renters 4%
Owners 92%
Tract context
Occupied units961
Renter share7.8%
SVI overall0.19
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$111,395
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
38
th percentile
Low
Within county
2
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
28
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across New Smyrna Beach and the region
Centroid at 29.0606, -80.9241 · click any tract to drill in
Why Minorca scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from New Smyrna Beach
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
$1,750 rent vs county FMR
5.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from New Smyrna Beach
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from New Smyrna Beach
5.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from New Smyrna Beach
6.4
How Minorca compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 19
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 16%Socioeconomic
- 7%Household composition
- 6%Racial/ethnic minority
- 70%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 6Total filings over 3 yrs
- 1.16%Avg annual filing rate
- 1.7%Peak (2018)
- 3Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Minorca. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Minorca
Pulling hardest the other way is eviction-process difficulty at 1.2/10. Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.
The filing record is not thin: 6 evictions over 3 years of observation. Against the Volusia County average of 3.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.
Filings peaked in 2018 at 1.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 1.2% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 8% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10.
Statewide the FL average is 4.1, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12127082701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12127082701?
Census tract 12127082701 in the Minorca neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12127082701?
Median gross rent is $1,750/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12127082701?
8.2% of residents in tract 12127082701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,809.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12127082701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 19th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 16th, household 7th, minority 6th, housing 70th.
Q5
Is tract 12127082701 considered part of Minorca?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12127082701 fall within Minorca (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12127082701?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 6 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12127082701 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.16% of renter households, peaking at 1.7% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 12127082701 compare to New Smyrna Beach overall?
Tract 12127082701 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of New Smyrna Beach at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from New Smyrna Beach; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in New Smyrna Beach
Top eight tracts in New Smyrna Beach ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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