Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #35,669 of 84,120 nationally
Orange City Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 12127090806 · Volusia, FL · pop 5,209 · 66% of tract blocks fall in Orange City
Census tract 12127090806 covers part of Orange City, FL, and scores 4.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 5,209. The severe-burden share is 52%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
4.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 46%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 38%
Tract context
Occupied units2,450
Renter share62.6%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate22.6%
Median income$40,631
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
78
th percentile
High
Within state
76
th percentile
High
National
58
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Orange City and the region
Centroid at 28.9251, -81.2861 · click any tract to drill in
Why Orange City scores 4.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Orange City
4.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.3
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
22.6% poverty · this tract
5.7
Supply constraint
$1,466 rent vs county FMR
3.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Orange City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Orange City
3.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Orange City
1.8
How Orange City compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 95
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 83%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 91%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 92Total filings over 3 yrs
- 2.25%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.0%Peak (2016)
- 21Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Orange City
Against Volusia County at 49.8%, 74% of renters here are cost-burdened. Set annual rent against average income of $40,631 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Running cool, eviction-process difficulty reads 1.1/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 1.5/10.
The poverty rate is 23%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Against the Volusia County average of 3.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 92 filings here across 3 tracked years. Adults with no health insurance runs 19.3% against 11.3% nationally. The worst year on record was 2016, when 3.0% of renter households were served.
At $1,466 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of Orange City commands. In a typical year about 2.3% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 12127090806
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12127090806?
Census tract 12127090806 in Orange City scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 12127090806?
Median gross rent is $1,466/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 12127090806?
22.6% of residents in tract 12127090806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,209.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 12127090806?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 83th, household 98th, minority 69th, housing 91th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12127090806?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 92 eviction filings across 3 validated years in tract 12127090806 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.25% of renter households, peaking at 3.0% in 2016. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
How does tract 12127090806 compare to Orange City overall?
Tract 12127090806 scores 4.8/10, higher than the parent city of Orange City at 3.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Orange City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Orange City
Top eight tracts in Orange City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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