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Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally

Bon Ayer Eviction Risk: Elevated , Macon-Bibb County

Tract 13021012200 · Bibb County, GA · pop 2,360 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 13021012200 runs through Bon Ayer in Macon-Bibb County. With 2,360 residents, it scores 7.4/10 for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #1,568 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

61% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 46% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is about $895 a month. About 64% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 25% Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,082
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate40.7%

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Bon Ayer
Moderate
Within parent city
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#9 of 48 tracts In Macon-Bibb County
High
Within county
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 48 tracts In Bibb County
High
Within state
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#79 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region

Centroid at 32.8537, -83.7046 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bon Ayer scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
40.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.4

How Bon Ayer compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bon Ayer risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.46.4This tracttract 012200Macon-Bibb County: 2.82.8Macon-Bibb Countyparent cityCounty: 5.35.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.73.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 953Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 26.37%Avg annual filing rate
  • 47.3%Peak (2007)
  • 89Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2011
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 130210122002004: 100 filings (21.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 89 filings (19.96/100 renter HHs)2006: 124 filings (27.80/100 renter HHs)2007: 211 filings (47.31/100 renter HHs)2008: 142 filings (31.84/100 renter HHs)2009: 103 filings (23.09/100 renter HHs)2010: 95 filings (19.55/100 renter HHs)2011: 89 filings (20.27/100 renter HHs)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bon Ayer

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Bibb County average of 6.8 and above the Georgia statewide average of 5.6. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

This tract overlaps land the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation redlined in the 1930s, a dominant grade of D ("Hazardous") across 19% of the tract. Redlining cut off mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class blocks, and those areas still tend to carry higher rent burden and eviction filings today.

In CDC survey modeling, about 28.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 22.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 13021012200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021012200?

Census tract 13021012200 in the Bon Ayer neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13021012200?

Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13021012200?

40.7% of residents in tract 13021012200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,360.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13021012200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 74th, minority 88th, housing 11th.
Q5

Is tract 13021012200 considered part of Bon Ayer?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021012200 fall within Bon Ayer (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13021012200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 953 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 13021012200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.37% of renter households, peaking at 47.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 13021012200 struggle to pay rent?

About 28.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 13021012200 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?

Tract 13021012200 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 2.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 13021012200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County

Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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