Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Bon Ayer Eviction Risk: Elevated , Macon-Bibb County
Tract 13021012200 · Bibb County, GA · pop 2,360 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Tract 13021012200 sits in the Bon Ayer area of Macon-Bibb County eviction risk, GA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6/10. It is home to 2,360 residents. The severe-burden share is 46%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 36%
Tract context
Occupied units1,082
Renter share63.9%
SVI overall0.75
Poverty rate40.7%
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Within county
98
th percentile
Very High
Within state
97
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Macon-Bibb County and the region
Centroid at 32.8537, -83.7046 · click any tract to drill in
Why Bon Ayer scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
6.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.2
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
40.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$895 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Macon-Bibb County
8.4
How Bon Ayer compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 97%Socioeconomic
- 74%Household composition
- 88%Racial/ethnic minority
- 11%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 19%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 953Total filings over 8 yrs
- 26.37%Avg annual filing rate
- 47.3%Peak (2007)
- 89Filings in 2011 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 8 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 28.8%Housing insecurity
- 22.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 37.5%Food insecurity
- 37.8%SNAP enrollment
- 19.3%Transit barriers
- 17.4%No health insurance
- 22.0%Frequent mental distress
- 42.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Bon Ayer
The dominant input is economic stress at 10/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10.
The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Food insecurity runs 37.5% against 17.8% nationally. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 9/10.
61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Bibb County average of 51.4%. Housing insecurity runs 28.8% against 14.2% nationally.
Against the Bibb County average of 4.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Average gross rent is $895, 16% below the Macon-Bibb County average. The filing record is not thin: 953 evictions over 8 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2007 at 47.3% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 13021012200
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13021012200?
Census tract 13021012200 in the Bon Ayer neighborhood scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 13021012200?
Median gross rent is $895/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 13021012200?
40.7% of residents in tract 13021012200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,360.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 13021012200?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 97th, household 74th, minority 88th, housing 11th.
Q5
Is tract 13021012200 considered part of Bon Ayer?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13021012200 fall within Bon Ayer (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 13021012200?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 953 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 13021012200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 26.37% of renter households, peaking at 47.3% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 13021012200 struggle to pay rent?
About 28.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 22.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 13021012200 compare to Macon-Bibb County overall?
Tract 13021012200 scores 6/10, higher than the parent city of Macon-Bibb County at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Macon-Bibb County eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 13021012200 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 19% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Macon-Bibb County
Top eight tracts in Macon-Bibb County ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · GA
Renaissance on the River
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
13021013900
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Hillcrest Heights
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Riverside Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Azalea Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Arlington Park
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Anthony Terrace
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · GA
Jefferson Hills
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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