Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Ellsworth Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Atlanta

Tract 13121009002 · Fulton County, GA · pop 2,776 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

13121009002 is a census tract in the Ellsworth Park area of Atlanta, GA. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 2% Stable renters 3% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units985
Renter share4.7%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate0.4%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Ellsworth Park
Low
Within parent city
15 th percentile
Rank, 15th percentileLowHigh
#154 of 180 tracts In Atlanta
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#323 of 327 tracts In Fulton County
Very Low
Within state
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#2,121 of 2,791 tracts In Georgia
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Atlanta and the region

Centroid at 33.8162, -84.4139 · click any tract to drill in

Why Ellsworth Park scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Atlanta
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
Georgia legislature & governorship
2.0
Economic stress
0.4% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,288 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Atlanta
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Atlanta
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Atlanta
4.0

How Ellsworth Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Ellsworth Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.0This tracttract 0090024.3Atlantaparent city4.2Countyavg tract in county4.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 4Total filings 2020-21
  • 0.1Avg monthly (observed)
  • 0.0Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.00×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-04-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline

Pandemic filings ran far below baseline (moratorium effect). Eviction Lab tracked Atlanta, GA as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Ellsworth Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Ellsworth Park

Average gross rent is $3,288, 92% above the Atlanta average. The voucher gap is 79.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Severe burden reaches 33%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 9.6/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

SNAP participation runs 2.1% against 15.2% nationally. Against the Fulton County average of 4.2, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. 41% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Fulton County average of 46.8%.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Rent consumes only 16% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 13121009002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 13121009002?

Census tract 13121009002 in the Ellsworth Park neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 13121009002?

Median gross rent is $3,288/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 41% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 13121009002?

0.4% of residents in tract 13121009002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,776.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 13121009002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 0th, household 4th, minority 12th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 13121009002 considered part of Ellsworth Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 13121009002 fall within Ellsworth Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 13121009002 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 13121009002 compare to Atlanta overall?

Tract 13121009002 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Atlanta at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Atlanta eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 13121009002 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Atlanta

Top eight tracts in Atlanta ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related