Hawai’i Kai Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Honolulu

The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The clearest offset is court filing pressure at 1.7/10.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1.9/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. Adults with no health insurance runs 2.4% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 2.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #35,669 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Only 21% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Rent consumes only 17% of average household income of $250,001, an unusually wide affordability cushion. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.