Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Kealaula Kai Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Honolulu
Tract 15003000122 ·
Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,079 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
Tract 15003000122 sits in the Kealaula Kai area of East Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 4.2/10. It is home to 3,079 residents. Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 100% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3%Stable renters 0%Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units983
Renter share3.4%
SVI overall0.11
Poverty rate2.1%
Median income$132,933
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Kealaula Kai
Moderate
Within parent city
12th percentile
#16 of 18 tracts In East Honolulu
Very Low
Within county
8th percentile
#302 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very Low
Within state
11th percentile
#389 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across East Honolulu and the region
Centroid at 21.2824, -157.6965 · click any tract to drill in
Why Kealaula Kai scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
2.1% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Honolulu
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Honolulu
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Honolulu
4.9
How Kealaula Kai compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 11
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
1%Socioeconomic
48%Household composition
93%Racial/ethnic minority
13%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
6.8%Housing insecurity
3.3%Utility-shutoff threat
11.2%Food insecurity
6.0%SNAP enrollment
4.8%Transit barriers
3.5%No health insurance
11.1%Frequent mental distress
27.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Kealaula Kai
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. It sits 1.8 points below the Honolulu County average of 6.0.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. On the high side, supply constraint reads 8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.5% against 11.3% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 6.8% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 46th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 3% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2/10. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.
Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15003000122
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003000122?
Census tract 15003000122 in the Kealaula Kai neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15003000122?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 100% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15003000122?
2.1% of residents in tract 15003000122 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,079.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15003000122?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 11th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 48th, minority 93th, housing 13th.
Q5
Is tract 15003000122 considered part of Kealaula Kai?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003000122 fall within Kealaula Kai (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15003000122 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15003000122 compare to East Honolulu overall?
Tract 15003000122 scores 4.2/10, lower than the parent city of East Honolulu at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in East Honolulu
Top eight tracts in East Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.