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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,239 of 84,120 nationally

‘Āina Haina Eviction Risk: Moderate , East Honolulu

Tract 15003000302 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,818 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi

15003000302 is a census tract in the ‘Āina Haina area of East Honolulu, HI. It scores 4.3/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,818. 15% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 3% Stable renters 15% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units990
Renter share17.3%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$175,109

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In ‘Āina Haina
Moderate
Within parent city
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 18 tracts In East Honolulu
Low
Within county
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#295 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Very Low
Within state
14 th percentile
Rank, 14th percentileLowHigh
#376 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across East Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2816, -157.7533 · click any tract to drill in

Why ‘Āina Haina scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from East Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,112 rent vs county FMR
6.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from East Honolulu
7.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from East Honolulu
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from East Honolulu
4.9

How ‘Āina Haina compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
‘Āina Haina risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.3This tracttract 0003025.5East Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in ‘Āina Haina

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. It sits 1.7 points below the Honolulu County average of 6.0.

SNAP participation runs 5.6% against 15.2% nationally. The voucher gap is 15.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 9.9% against 17.8% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 47th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. At 17% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.6 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003000302

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003000302?

Census tract 15003000302 in the ‘Āina Haina neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003000302?

Median gross rent is $3,112/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 15% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003000302?

3.5% of residents in tract 15003000302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,818.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003000302?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 74th, minority 89th, housing 55th.
Q5

Is tract 15003000302 considered part of ‘Āina Haina?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003000302 fall within ‘Āina Haina (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003000302 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003000302 compare to East Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003000302 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of East Honolulu at 5.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from East Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in East Honolulu

Top eight tracts in East Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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