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Neighborhood · Ranked #31,159 of 84,120 nationally

Moiliili Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003002404 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,471 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Eviction risk in the Moiliili neighborhood of Urban Honolulu centers on tract 15003002404, which scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 1,471 residents. That is riskier than about 46% of US census tracts.

44% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,453 monthly, set against $61,940 in average yearly household income, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 72% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 40% Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units715
Renter share71.9%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate13.4%
Median income$61,940

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#15 of 33 tracts In Moiliili
Elevated
Within parent city
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Elevated
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#61 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#81 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2917, -157.8263 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moiliili scores 4.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
13.4% poverty · this tract
3.3
Supply constraint
$1,453 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Moiliili compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Moiliili risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.64.6This tracttract 002404Urban Honolulu: 5.35.3Urban Honoluluparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 62

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moiliili. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moiliili

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 62nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003002404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002404?

Census tract 15003002404 in the Moiliili neighborhood scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003002404?

Median gross rent is $1,453/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002404?

13.4% of residents in tract 15003002404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,471.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 44th, minority 90th, housing 73th.
Q5

Is tract 15003002404 considered part of Moiliili?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002404 fall within Moiliili (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003002404 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003002404 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003002404 scores 4.6/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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