Neighborhood · Ranked #8,653 of 84,120 nationally

Moiliili Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003002006 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,088 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi

With a score of 7.9/10, tract 15003002006 in the Moiliili area of Urban Honolulu, HI reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,088. The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

7.9

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 25% Owners 36%

Tract context

Occupied units1,219

Renter share64.7%

SVI overall0.75

Poverty rate12.8%

Median income$66,321

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.2835, -157.8293 · click any tract to drill in

Why Moiliili scores 7.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

Hawaii legislature & governorship

5.5

Economic stress

12.8% poverty · this tract

3.2

Supply constraint

$2,022 rent vs county FMR

2.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

7.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

5.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

9.2

Housing court bias

Inherited from Urban Honolulu

6.6

How Moiliili compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 75

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

71%Socioeconomic
22%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Moiliili. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

10.5%Housing insecurity
5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
17.5%Food insecurity
12.2%SNAP enrollment
6.9%Transit barriers
5.0%No health insurance
14.2%Frequent mental distress
27.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Moiliili

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $66,321, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

61% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2.5/10. At $2,022 a month, rents run 11% over what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 90th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.8/10.

Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 2.0 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 65% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003002006

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003002006?

Census tract 15003002006 in the Moiliili neighborhood scores 7.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 15003002006?

Median gross rent is $2,022/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003002006?

12.8% of residents in tract 15003002006 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,088.

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003002006?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 75th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 71th, household 22th, minority 80th, housing 91th.

Is tract 15003002006 considered part of Moiliili?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003002006 fall within Moiliili (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 15003002006 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 15003002006 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003002006 scores 7.9/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.