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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Makalapa Housing Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003006806 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 1,736 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

With a score of 5.8/10, tract 15003006806 in the Makalapa Housing area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 1,736. Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 69% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 3% Owners 91%
Tract context
Occupied units538
Renter share9.1%
SVI overall0.35
Poverty rate7.1%
Median income$158,182

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 10 tracts In Makalapa Housing
Moderate
Within parent city
18 th percentile
Rank, 18th percentileLowHigh
#108 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Very Low
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#171 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Moderate
Within state
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#218 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3490, -157.9154 · click any tract to drill in

Why Makalapa Housing scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
7.1% poverty · this tract
1.8
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Makalapa Housing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Makalapa Housing risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.8This tracttract 0068066.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 35

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Makalapa Housing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Makalapa Housing

Severe burden reaches 37%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Average gross rent is $3,501, 92% above the Urban Honolulu average.

The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.8/10. Housing insecurity runs 6.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.2% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. At 9% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. It tracks the Honolulu County average of 6.0 closely.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $158,182.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003006806

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003006806?

Census tract 15003006806 in the Makalapa Housing neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003006806?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 69% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003006806?

7.1% of residents in tract 15003006806 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,736.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003006806?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 35th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 11th, household 79th, minority 92th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 15003006806 considered part of Makalapa Housing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003006806 fall within Makalapa Housing (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003006806 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003006806 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003006806 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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