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Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally

Makalapa Housing Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003007100 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,884 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 15003007100 covers part of the Makalapa Housing area of Hickam Housing eviction risk, HI, and scores 5.6/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,884 residents. 74% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%.

Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 73% Stable renters 26% Owners 1%
Tract context
Occupied units1,090
Renter share99.3%
SVI overall0.14
Poverty rate3.5%
Median income$103,971

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#8 of 10 tracts In Makalapa Housing
Low
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Very High
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#196 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Moderate
Within state
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#242 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3387, -157.9353 · click any tract to drill in

Why Makalapa Housing scores 5.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
3.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
5.5

How Makalapa Housing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Makalapa Housing risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.6This tracttract 0071006.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 14

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Makalapa Housing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Makalapa Housing

35% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.9/10. This is renter territory: 99% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Set annual rent against average income of $103,971 and the ratio lands at 40%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 2.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003007100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003007100?

Census tract 15003007100 in the Makalapa Housing neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003007100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 74% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003007100?

3.5% of residents in tract 15003007100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,884.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003007100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 14th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 16th, minority 64th, housing 5th.
Q5

Is tract 15003007100 considered part of Makalapa Housing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003007100 fall within Makalapa Housing (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003007100 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003007100 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003007100 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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