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Neighborhood · Ranked #26,446 of 84,120 nationally

Makalapa Housing Eviction Risk: Moderate , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003007002 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,620 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Census tract 15003007002 covers the Makalapa Housing neighborhood of Urban Honolulu, home to 2,620 residents. For landlords it grades 5.8/10, a moderate reading. That is riskier than about 69% of US census tracts.

About 81% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 62% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,227 a month while the average household earns $70,961 a year, roughly 55% of income at the averages. About 100% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
4.9
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 81% Stable renters 19% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units993
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$70,961

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 10 tracts In Makalapa Housing
High
Within parent city
81 th percentile
Rank, 81st percentileLowHigh
#26 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#36 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
88 th percentile
Rank, 88th percentileLowHigh
#55 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3421, -157.9209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Makalapa Housing scores 4.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$3,227 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Makalapa Housing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Makalapa Housing risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.94.9This tracttract 007002Urban Honolulu: 5.35.3Urban Honoluluparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Makalapa Housing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Makalapa Housing

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.2/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Honolulu County average of 5.1 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 10th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 15.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003007002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003007002?

Census tract 15003007002 in the Makalapa Housing neighborhood scores 4.9/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003007002?

Median gross rent is $3,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003007002?

17.5% of residents in tract 15003007002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,620.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003007002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 10th, minority 64th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 15003007002 considered part of Makalapa Housing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003007002 fall within Makalapa Housing (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003007002 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003007002 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003007002 scores 4.9/10, lower than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 5.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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