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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,836 of 84,120 nationally

Makalapa Housing Eviction Risk: High , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003007002 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 2,620 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Tract 15003007002 sits in the Makalapa Housing area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8/10. Population here is 2,620. 62% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 81% Stable renters 19% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units993
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate17.5%
Median income$70,961

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In Makalapa Housing
Very High
Within parent city
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
High
Within county
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#38 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
High
Within state
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3421, -157.9209 · click any tract to drill in

Why Makalapa Housing scores 8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
17.5% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$3,227 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Makalapa Housing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Makalapa Housing risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.0This tracttract 0070026.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Makalapa Housing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Makalapa Housing

Against Honolulu County at 50.9%, 81% of renters here are cost-burdened. Annualized rent equals 55% of average household income of $70,961, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

At $3,227 a month, rents run 77% over what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10.

Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. The voucher gap is 20.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.3/10. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 1.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003007002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003007002?

Census tract 15003007002 in the Makalapa Housing neighborhood scores 8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003007002?

Median gross rent is $3,227/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 81% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003007002?

17.5% of residents in tract 15003007002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,620.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003007002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 46th, household 10th, minority 64th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 15003007002 considered part of Makalapa Housing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003007002 fall within Makalapa Housing (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003007002 struggle to pay rent?

About 15.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003007002 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003007002 scores 8/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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