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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Makalapa Housing Eviction Risk: Elevated , Urban Honolulu

Tract 15003006810 · Honolulu County, HI · pop 3,774 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

Tract 15003006810 sits in the Makalapa Housing area of Urban Honolulu eviction risk, HI, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7/10. Population here is 3,774. 55% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 82% Stable renters 18% Owners 0%
Tract context
Occupied units860
Renter share100.0%
SVI overall0.18
Poverty rate5.8%
Median income$77,262

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 10 tracts In Makalapa Housing
High
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#71 of 132 tracts In Urban Honolulu
Moderate
Within county
71 th percentile
Rank, 71st percentileLowHigh
#96 of 329 tracts In Honolulu County
Elevated
Within state
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#113 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Urban Honolulu and the region

Centroid at 21.3594, -157.9162 · click any tract to drill in

Why Makalapa Housing scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
5.8% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
9.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Urban Honolulu
6.6

How Makalapa Housing compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Makalapa Housing risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.0This tracttract 0068106.6Urban Honoluluparent city6.0Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Makalapa Housing. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Makalapa Housing

82% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Honolulu County average of 50.9%. Annualized rent equals 54% of average household income of $77,262, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

At $3,501 a month, rents run 92% over what the rest of Urban Honolulu commands. This is renter territory: 100% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.2/10. The voucher gap is 30.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.7/10. Against the Honolulu County average of 6.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.0 points. Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 2.7/10. Statewide the HI average is 5.9, so this tract runs 1.1 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 15003006810

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15003006810?

Census tract 15003006810 in the Makalapa Housing neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15003006810?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 82% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15003006810?

5.8% of residents in tract 15003006810 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,774.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15003006810?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 41th, household 38th, minority 74th, housing 1th.
Q5

Is tract 15003006810 considered part of Makalapa Housing?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15003006810 fall within Makalapa Housing (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15003006810 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15003006810 compare to Urban Honolulu overall?

Tract 15003006810 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Urban Honolulu at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Urban Honolulu eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Urban Honolulu

Top eight tracts in Urban Honolulu ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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