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Neighborhood · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Southpointe at Waiakoa Eviction Risk: Elevated , Kihei

Tract 15009030712 · Maui County, HI · pop 2,451 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 15009030712 covers part of the Southpointe at Waiakoa area of Kihei, HI, and scores 6.1/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,451 residents. The severe-burden share is 36%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
6.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15% Stable renters 17% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units860
Renter share32.2%
SVI overall0.55
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$101,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In Southpointe at Waiakoa
Very Low
Within parent city
17 th percentile
Rank, 17th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 7 tracts In Kihei
Very Low
Within county
55 th percentile
Rank, 55th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 45 tracts In Maui County
Moderate
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#185 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Kihei and the region

Centroid at 20.7616, -156.4540 · click any tract to drill in

Why Southpointe at Waiakoa scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Kihei
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$2,274 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Kihei
7.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.2
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Kihei
8.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Kihei
6.4

How Southpointe at Waiakoa compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Southpointe at Waiakoa risk score vs. parent city / county / state6.1This tracttract 0307126.5Kiheiparent city6.1Countyavg tract in county5.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 55

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Southpointe at Waiakoa. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Southpointe at Waiakoa

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.5/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8.2/10.

Average gross rent is $2,274, 11% above the Kihei average. On the national scale it lands near the 79th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

47% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Maui County average of 6.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $101,250.

32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 15009030712

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15009030712?

Census tract 15009030712 in the Southpointe at Waiakoa neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15009030712?

Median gross rent is $2,274/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 47% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15009030712?

5.9% of residents in tract 15009030712 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,451.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15009030712?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 55th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 65th, minority 68th, housing 39th.
Q5

Is tract 15009030712 considered part of Southpointe at Waiakoa?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15009030712 fall within Southpointe at Waiakoa (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15009030712 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15009030712 compare to Kihei overall?

Tract 15009030712 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Kihei at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Kihei eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Kihei

Top eight tracts in Kihei ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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