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Neighborhood · Ranked #68,306 of 84,120 nationally

Happy Valley Eviction Risk: Lower , Wailuku

Tract 15009031002 · Maui County, HI · pop 3,774 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 15009031002 (the Happy Valley neighborhood of Wailuku, Hawaii) comes in at 5.2/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 68% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 42% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,723 a month while the average household earns $75,262 a year, roughly 27% of income at the averages. About 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
2.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22% Stable renters 10% Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$75,262

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Happy Valley
Moderate
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Wailuku
Elevated
Within county
23 th percentile
Rank, 23rd percentileLowHigh
#35 of 45 tracts In Maui County
Low
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#319 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Wailuku and the region

Centroid at 20.8891, -156.4934 · click any tract to drill in

Why Happy Valley scores 2.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Wailuku
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,723 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wailuku
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wailuku
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wailuku
5.5

How Happy Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Happy Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.42.4This tracttract 031002Wailuku: 5.25.2Wailukuparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 71

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Happy Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Wailuku eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maui County average of 5.2 and in line with the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 9.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Asian and multiracial or other-race and ranks around the 71st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15009031002

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15009031002?

Census tract 15009031002 in the Happy Valley neighborhood scores 2.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15009031002?

Median gross rent is $1,723/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15009031002?

5.9% of residents in tract 15009031002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,774.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15009031002?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 58th, minority 82th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 15009031002 considered part of Happy Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15009031002 fall within Happy Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 15009031002 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 15009031002 compare to Wailuku overall?

Tract 15009031002 scores 2.4/10, lower than the parent city of Wailuku at 5.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wailuku eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Wailuku

Top eight tracts in Wailuku ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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