Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Happy Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Wailuku
Tract 15009031002 · Maui County, HI · pop 3,774 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 15009031002 in the Happy Valley area of Wailuku, HI reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,774 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,595
Renter share32.7%
SVI overall0.71
Poverty rate5.9%
Median income$75,262
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
67
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
30
th percentile
Low
Within state
45
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Wailuku and the region
Centroid at 20.8891, -156.4934 · click any tract to drill in
Why Happy Valley scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Wailuku
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
5.9% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,723 rent vs county FMR
2.5
Rent control risk
Inherited from Wailuku
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Wailuku
6.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Wailuku
5.5
How Happy Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 71
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 45%Socioeconomic
- 58%Household composition
- 82%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Happy Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.9%Housing insecurity
- 5.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.3%Food insecurity
- 10.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.0%Transit barriers
- 5.7%No health insurance
- 13.9%Frequent mental distress
- 25.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Happy Valley
Against Maui County at 48.5%, 68% of renters here are cost-burdened. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.5/10.
On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.8/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.6/10.
Nationally it ranks #22,681 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Maui County average of 6.1 closely. Average gross rent is $1,723, close to the Wailuku average.
Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $75,262. 33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 15009031002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15009031002?
Census tract 15009031002 in the Happy Valley neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 15009031002?
Median gross rent is $1,723/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 15009031002?
5.9% of residents in tract 15009031002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,774.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 15009031002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 71th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 45th, household 58th, minority 82th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 15009031002 considered part of Happy Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15009031002 fall within Happy Valley (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 15009031002 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 15009031002 compare to Wailuku overall?
Tract 15009031002 scores 5.6/10, right in line with the parent city of Wailuku at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Wailuku eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Wailuku
Top eight tracts in Wailuku ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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