Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Waine‘e Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lahaina

Tract 15009031404 · Maui County, HI · pop 3,100 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Eviction risk in the Waine'e neighborhood of Lahaina centers on tract 15009031404, which scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier) and is home to 3,100 residents. That is riskier than about 69% of US census tracts.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 58% of renter households, a severe level, and 31% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,746 a month against an average household income of $74,595 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 61% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 35% Stable renters 25% Owners 40%
Tract context
Occupied units1,080
Renter share60.6%
SVI overall0.72
Poverty rate20.5%
Median income$74,595

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Waine‘e
Moderate
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Lahaina
Very High
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#4 of 45 tracts In Maui County
Very High
Within state
89 th percentile
Rank, 89th percentileLowHigh
#49 of 436 tracts In Hawaii
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lahaina and the region

Centroid at 20.8724, -156.6786 · click any tract to drill in

Why Waine‘e scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lahaina
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.8
State political climate
Hawaii legislature & governorship
5.5
Economic stress
20.5% poverty · this tract
5.1
Supply constraint
$1,746 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lahaina
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lahaina
8.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lahaina
7.0

How Waine‘e compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Waine‘e risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 031404Lahaina: 5.45.4Lahainaparent cityCounty: 3.13.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.33.3Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 72

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 10Total filings over 1 yrs
  • 1.08%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.1%Peak (2018)
  • 10Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Waine‘e

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at 8.8/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Lahaina eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maui County average of 5.2 and above the Hawaii statewide average of 5.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 72nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 15009031404

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 15009031404?

Census tract 15009031404 in the Waine‘e neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 15009031404?

Median gross rent is $1,746/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 15009031404?

20.5% of residents in tract 15009031404 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,100.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 15009031404?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 72th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 66th, household 65th, minority 71th, housing 68th.
Q5

Is tract 15009031404 considered part of Waine‘e?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 15009031404 fall within Waine‘e (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 15009031404?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 10 eviction filings across 1 validated years in tract 15009031404 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.08% of renter households, peaking at 1.1% in 2018. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 15009031404 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 15009031404 compare to Lahaina overall?

Tract 15009031404 scores 5/10, lower than the parent city of Lahaina at 5.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lahaina eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Lahaina

Top eight tracts in Lahaina ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related