Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,522 of 84,120 nationally
Lakewood-Balmoral Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031030702 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,266 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi
Eviction risk in the Lakewood-Balmoral neighborhood of Chicago centers on tract 17031030702, which scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 2,266 residents. That is riskier than roughly 81% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
52% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 33% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,444 a month against an average household income of $60,133 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. About 40% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 21%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 60%
Tract context
Occupied units1,551
Renter share39.5%
SVI overall0.67
Poverty rate15.9%
Median income$60,133
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
59
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
84
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.9808, -87.6545 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lakewood-Balmoral scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
15.9% poverty · this tract
4.0
Supply constraint
$1,444 rent vs county FMR
3.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Lakewood-Balmoral compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 67
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 65%Socioeconomic
- 41%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 73%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 1%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 268Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.78%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.3%Peak (2009)
- 21Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 24% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lakewood-Balmoral. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.4%Housing insecurity
- 5.0%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.4%Food insecurity
- 8.0%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.1%No health insurance
- 11.2%Frequent mental distress
- 22.2%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lakewood-Balmoral
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Cook County average of 5.7 and above the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.4% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.0% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Asian and ranks around the 67th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031030702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031030702?
Census tract 17031030702 in the Lakewood-Balmoral neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031030702?
Median gross rent is $1,444/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031030702?
15.9% of residents in tract 17031030702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,266.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031030702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 67th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 65th, household 41th, minority 63th, housing 73th.
Q5
Is tract 17031030702 considered part of Lakewood-Balmoral?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031030702 fall within Lakewood-Balmoral (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031030702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 268 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031030702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.78% of renter households, peaking at 9.3% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031030702 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031030702 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031030702 scores 5.7/10, right in line with the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031030702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Pacific Junction
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Becks Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Homan Square
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Central Park
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
North Kenwood
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Argyle Street
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · IL
Ridgeland
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
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