Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Central Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago
Tract 17031231500 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,809 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031231500 in the Central Park area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 5,809 residents. 50% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units2,270
Renter share70.4%
SVI overall0.99
Poverty rate31.6%
Median income$31,755
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
87
th percentile
High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8917, -87.7187 · click any tract to drill in
Why Central Park scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.6% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$1,133 rent vs county FMR
1.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Central Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 99
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 99%Socioeconomic
- 97%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 77%Grade C
- 22%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,603Total filings over 15 yrs
- 8.02%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.8%Peak (2003)
- 97Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 20% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Central Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 35.4%Housing insecurity
- 24.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 45.7%Food insecurity
- 47.4%SNAP enrollment
- 21.5%Transit barriers
- 18.9%No health insurance
- 20.1%Frequent mental distress
- 39.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Central Park
Against Cook County at 45.6%, 63% of renters here are cost-burdened. Food insecurity runs 45.7% against 17.8% nationally.
SNAP participation runs 47.4% against 15.2% nationally. Set annual rent against average income of $31,755 and the ratio lands at 43%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.4/10.
It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. 70% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Average gross rent is $1,133, 21% below the Chicago average. Court records carry 1,603 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031231500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031231500?
Census tract 17031231500 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031231500?
Median gross rent is $1,133/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031231500?
31.6% of residents in tract 17031231500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,809.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031231500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 99th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 99th, household 97th, minority 93th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 17031231500 considered part of Central Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031231500 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031231500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,603 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031231500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.02% of renter households, peaking at 9.8% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031231500 struggle to pay rent?
About 35.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031231500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031231500 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031231500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 22% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Grand Crossing
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chester Highlands
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Park Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Ellsworth
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Oakwood Shores
8.1
/ 10 · High
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