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Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally

Roscoe Village Eviction Risk: Lower , Chicago

Tract 17031051200 · Cook County, IL · pop 1,576 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

In the Roscoe Village neighborhood of Chicago, census tract 17031051200 scores 5.3/10 for eviction risk. It lands near the 50th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 25% of renter households, a moderate level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,117 monthly, set against $174,598 in average yearly household income, roughly 15% of income at the averages. Renters make up 53% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 40% Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units645
Renter share53.5%
SVI overall0.10
Poverty rate5.6%
Median income$174,598

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 5 tracts In Roscoe Village
Moderate
Within parent city
10 th percentile
Rank, 10th percentileLowHigh
#714 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#883 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Low
Within state
51 th percentile
Rank, 51st percentileLowHigh
#1,612 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.9414, -87.6760 · click any tract to drill in

Why Roscoe Village scores 3.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
5.6% poverty · this tract
1.4
Supply constraint
$2,117 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Roscoe Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Roscoe Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.83.8This tracttract 051200Chicago: 5.75.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 10

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 33Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 0.68%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.3%Peak (2001)
  • 1Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170310512002001: 6 filings (1.33/100 renter HHs)2002: 4 filings (0.89/100 renter HHs)2003: 1 filings (0.22/100 renter HHs)2004: 4 filings (0.89/100 renter HHs)2005: 2 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2006: 5 filings (1.28/100 renter HHs)2007: 2 filings (0.51/100 renter HHs)2008: 1 filings (0.26/100 renter HHs)2009: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2010: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2011: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2012: 2 filings (0.56/100 renter HHs)2013: 1 filings (0.28/100 renter HHs)2014: 4 filings (1.12/100 renter HHs)2015: 1 filings (0.28/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 83% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Roscoe Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Roscoe Village

The heaviest input here is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Chicago eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Cook County average of 5.7 and in line with the Illinois statewide average of 5.4. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

HOLC surveyors mapped this tract in the 1930s with a dominant grade of C ("Declining"), above the redlined D tier. The grading still shaped decades of lending and development in the surrounding area.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031051200

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031051200?

Census tract 17031051200 in the Roscoe Village neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031051200?

Median gross rent is $2,117/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 25% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031051200?

5.6% of residents in tract 17031051200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,576.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031051200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 10th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 13th, household 2th, minority 43th, housing 42th.
Q5

Is tract 17031051200 considered part of Roscoe Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031051200 fall within Roscoe Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031051200?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 33 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 17031051200 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.68% of renter households, peaking at 1.3% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031051200 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031051200 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031051200 scores 3.8/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 5.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031051200 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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