Roscoe Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against Cook County at 45.6%, roughly one in three of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Disability prevalence runs 16.4% against 31.5% nationally. The voucher gap is 23.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. SNAP participation runs 6.1% against 15.2% nationally. Court records carry 16 eviction filings across 10 observed years.

The severe-burden share is 9%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.8 points.

Filings peaked in 2004 at 1.4% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing.

Nationally it ranks #28,095 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 1.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.