Peterson Park (39th Ward) Eviction Risk: High , Lincolnwood
Tract 17031130100 ·
Cook County, IL · pop 4,895 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 17031130100 sits in the Peterson Park (39th Ward) area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.1/10. At $413 a month, rents run 71% under what the rest of Chicago commands.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%Stable renters 22%Owners 53%
Tract context
Occupied units1,805
Renter share46.3%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate20.1%
Median income$41,336
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100th percentile
#1 of 3 tracts In Peterson Park (39th Ward)
Very High
Within parent city
85th percentile
#119 of 792 tracts In Lincolnwood
High
Within county
98th percentile
#22 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100th percentile
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincolnwood and the region
Centroid at 41.9911, -87.7208 · click any tract to drill in
Why Peterson Park (39th Ward) scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Lincolnwood
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
20.1% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$413 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincolnwood
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincolnwood
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincolnwood
6.5
How Peterson Park (39th Ward) compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
61%Socioeconomic
93%Household composition
56%Racial/ethnic minority
81%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
0%Grade A
48%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
52Total filings over 14 yrs
0.49%Avg annual filing rate
0.8%Peak (2012)
6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2015
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Peterson Park (39th Ward). Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
9.1%Housing insecurity
5.3%Utility-shutoff threat
14.6%Food insecurity
11.8%SNAP enrollment
6.6%Transit barriers
8.4%No health insurance
11.9%Frequent mental distress
30.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Peterson Park (39th Ward)
The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.
On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Severe burden reaches 20%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Cost burden runs 53% here against 45.6% across Cook County.
Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.
The filing record is not thin: 52 evictions over 14 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2012, when 0.8% of renter households were served.
In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground B ("Still Desirable"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 0.5% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 91% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031130100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031130100?
Census tract 17031130100 in the Peterson Park (39th Ward) neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031130100?
Median gross rent is $413/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031130100?
20.1% of residents in tract 17031130100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,895.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031130100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 61th, household 93th, minority 56th, housing 81th.
Q5
Is tract 17031130100 considered part of Peterson Park (39th Ward)?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031130100 fall within Peterson Park (39th Ward) (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031130100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 52 eviction filings across 14 validated years in tract 17031130100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.49% of renter households, peaking at 0.8% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031130100 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031130100 compare to Lincolnwood overall?
Tract 17031130100 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Lincolnwood at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincolnwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031130100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincolnwood
Top eight tracts in Lincolnwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.