Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Peterson Park (39th Ward) Eviction Risk: Moderate , Lincolnwood
Tract 17031808002 · Cook County, IL · pop 5,339 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Tract 17031808002 sits in the Peterson Park (39th Ward) area of Lincolnwood, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 5,339 residents. 52% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 68%
Tract context
Occupied units1,819
Renter share31.3%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate6.1%
Median income$105,982
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
24
th percentile
Low
Within state
52
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Lincolnwood and the region
Centroid at 42.0051, -87.7194 · click any tract to drill in
Why Peterson Park (39th Ward) scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Lincolnwood
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.1% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Lincolnwood
9.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Lincolnwood
3.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Lincolnwood
6.3
How Peterson Park (39th Ward) compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 48%Socioeconomic
- 99%Household composition
- 50%Racial/ethnic minority
- 78%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 4%Grade B
- 7%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 88Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.50%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.2%Peak (2013)
- 6Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Peterson Park (39th Ward). Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 4.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.7%Food insecurity
- 7.5%SNAP enrollment
- 5.3%Transit barriers
- 6.6%No health insurance
- 11.6%Frequent mental distress
- 25.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Peterson Park (39th Ward)
What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10. The voucher gap is 98.8%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.6/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Annualized rent equals 40% of average household income of $105,982, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.0 points.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 88 filings here across 15 tracked years. SNAP participation runs 7.5% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2013, when 3.2% of renter households were served. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.5% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031808002
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031808002?
Census tract 17031808002 in the Peterson Park (39th Ward) neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031808002?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031808002?
6.1% of residents in tract 17031808002 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,339.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031808002?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 99th, minority 50th, housing 78th.
Q5
Is tract 17031808002 considered part of Peterson Park (39th Ward)?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031808002 fall within Peterson Park (39th Ward) (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031808002?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 88 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031808002 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.50% of renter households, peaking at 3.2% in 2013. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031808002 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031808002 compare to Lincolnwood overall?
Tract 17031808002 scores 5.1/10, lower than the parent city of Lincolnwood at 6.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Lincolnwood; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031808002 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Lincolnwood
Top eight tracts in Lincolnwood ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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