Within neighborhood
71
th percentile
Elevated
Neighborhood · Ranked #15,451 of 84,120 nationally
Ellsworth Eviction Risk: Elevated , Elmwood Park
Tract 17031180100 · Cook County, IL · pop 6,544 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Census tract 17031180100 covers part of the Ellsworth area of Chicago, IL, and scores 6.5/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 6,544 residents. The severe-burden share is 38%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units2,289
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate14.2%
Median income$97,301
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
33
th percentile
Low
Within county
54
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elmwood Park and the region
Centroid at 41.9345, -87.7986 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellsworth scores 6.5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elmwood Park
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
14.2% poverty · this tract
3.6
Supply constraint
$1,612 rent vs county FMR
4.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elmwood Park
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elmwood Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elmwood Park
6.5
How Ellsworth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 59%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 75%Racial/ethnic minority
- 69%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 180Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.48%Avg annual filing rate
- 4.6%Peak (2012)
- 10Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellsworth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 17.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.5%Food insecurity
- 15.3%SNAP enrollment
- 9.3%Transit barriers
- 16.5%No health insurance
- 14.9%Frequent mental distress
- 28.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellsworth
The score leans hardest on local political climate at 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
On the high side, regional political climate reads 7.5/10. Court records carry 180 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
At $1,612 a month, rents run 12% over what the rest of Chicago commands. Filings peaked in 2012 at 4.6% of renter households.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 2.5% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 82nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 7.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.
Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 42% of renters.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031180100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031180100?
Census tract 17031180100 in the Ellsworth neighborhood scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031180100?
Median gross rent is $1,612/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031180100?
14.2% of residents in tract 17031180100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,544.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031180100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 59th, household 75th, minority 75th, housing 69th.
Q5
Is tract 17031180100 considered part of Ellsworth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031180100 fall within Ellsworth (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031180100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 180 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031180100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.48% of renter households, peaking at 4.6% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031180100 struggle to pay rent?
About 17.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031180100 compare to Elmwood Park overall?
Tract 17031180100 scores 6.5/10, higher than the parent city of Elmwood Park at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elmwood Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031180100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elmwood Park
Top eight tracts in Elmwood Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Arcade Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Becks Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
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