Within neighborhood
43
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #22,681 of 84,120 nationally
Ellsworth Eviction Risk: Moderate , Elmwood Park
Tract 17031810702 · Cook County, IL · pop 4,048 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
With a score of 5.6/10, tract 17031810702 in the Ellsworth area of Elmwood Park, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,048 residents. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 29% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Risk score
5.6
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 16%
Stable renters 39%
Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,417
Renter share55.4%
SVI overall0.73
Poverty rate6.3%
Median income$73,750
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
37
th percentile
Low
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Elmwood Park and the region
Centroid at 41.9253, -87.8160 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ellsworth scores 5.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Elmwood Park
7.8
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
6.3% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,240 rent vs county FMR
2.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Elmwood Park
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
5.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Elmwood Park
7.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Elmwood Park
5.0
How Ellsworth compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 73
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 55%Household composition
- 63%Racial/ethnic minority
- 82%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 58%Grade C
- 20%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 239Total filings over 15 yrs
- 2.03%Avg annual filing rate
- 3.5%Peak (2012)
- 12Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 29% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ellsworth. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.1%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.7%Food insecurity
- 12.6%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 13.4%No health insurance
- 14.8%Frequent mental distress
- 27.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ellsworth
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.6/10. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 2/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 7.8/10.
10% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The filing record is not thin: 239 evictions over 15 years of observation.
Filings peaked in 2012 at 3.5% of renter households. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.
In a typical year about 2.0% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 73rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.6/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Cook County average of 6.1 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031810702
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031810702?
Census tract 17031810702 in the Ellsworth neighborhood scores 5.6/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031810702?
Median gross rent is $1,240/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 29% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031810702?
6.3% of residents in tract 17031810702 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,048.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031810702?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 73th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 55th, minority 63th, housing 82th.
Q5
Is tract 17031810702 considered part of Ellsworth?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031810702 fall within Ellsworth (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031810702?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 239 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031810702 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 2.03% of renter households, peaking at 3.5% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031810702 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031810702 compare to Elmwood Park overall?
Tract 17031810702 scores 5.6/10, lower than the parent city of Elmwood Park at 6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Elmwood Park; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031810702 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 20% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Elmwood Park
Top eight tracts in Elmwood Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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