Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #16,571 of 84,120 nationally
Smith Park Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago
Tract 17031242500 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,255 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 17031242500 sits in the Smith Park area of Chicago eviction risk, IL, carrying an eviction-risk score of 6.3/10. Population here is 3,255. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.5/10.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 42%
Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,536
Renter share69.1%
SVI overall0.56
Poverty rate11.5%
Median income$93,279
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
32
th percentile
Low
Within county
51
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
76
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8994, -87.6893 · click any tract to drill in
Why Smith Park scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
11.5% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,775 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Smith Park compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 56
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 62%Socioeconomic
- 5%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 87%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 98%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 207Total filings over 15 yrs
- 1.27%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.3%Peak (2004)
- 18Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Smith Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.7%Housing insecurity
- 7.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 14.0%Food insecurity
- 11.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 9.8%No health insurance
- 15.6%Frequent mental distress
- 20.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Smith Park
This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. At $1,775 a month, rents run 23% over what the rest of Chicago commands.
16% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against Cook County at 45.6%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.
The filing record is not thin: 207 evictions over 15 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2004, when 2.3% of renter households were served.
This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Chicago. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. In a typical year about 1.3% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 80% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Social vulnerability reads 6.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031242500
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031242500?
Census tract 17031242500 in the Smith Park neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031242500?
Median gross rent is $1,775/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031242500?
11.5% of residents in tract 17031242500 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,255.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031242500?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 62th, household 5th, minority 59th, housing 87th.
Q5
Is tract 17031242500 considered part of Smith Park?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031242500 fall within Smith Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031242500?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 207 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031242500 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.27% of renter households, peaking at 2.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031242500 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031242500 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031242500 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031242500 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Marshall Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
East Hyde Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
The Cottage
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Brookline
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Essex
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Roosevelt Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Related