Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally
Ridgeland Eviction Risk: High , Oak Park
Tract 17031251400 · Cook County, IL · pop 3,712 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi
17031251400 is a census tract in the Ridgeland area of Chicago, IL. It scores 8.1/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,712 residents. The severe-burden share is 39%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 43%
Stable renters 38%
Owners 19%
Tract context
Occupied units2,109
Renter share80.6%
SVI overall0.96
Poverty rate31.8%
Median income$21,049
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
97
th percentile
Very High
Within state
100
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Oak Park and the region
Centroid at 41.8910, -87.7701 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ridgeland scores 8.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Oak Park
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
31.8% poverty · this tract
7.9
Supply constraint
$829 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Oak Park
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Oak Park
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Oak Park
6.5
How Ridgeland compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 96
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 82%Socioeconomic
- 95%Household composition
- 91%Racial/ethnic minority
- 94%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 100%Grade C
- 0%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 1,186Total filings over 15 yrs
- 6.57%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.4%Peak (2001)
- 72Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 30% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Ridgeland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 34.4%Housing insecurity
- 24.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 46.2%Food insecurity
- 50.1%SNAP enrollment
- 21.1%Transit barriers
- 15.7%No health insurance
- 19.7%Frequent mental distress
- 41.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ridgeland
Food insecurity runs 46.2% against 17.8% nationally. Average gross rent is $829, 42% below the Chicago average. Set annual rent against average income of $21,049 and the ratio lands at 47%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.
Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. 81% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Against the Cook County average of 6.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10.
Inability to pay a utility bill runs 24.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10.
Cost burden runs 53% here against 45.6% across Cook County. The filing record is not thin: 1,186 evictions over 15 years of observation.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031251400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031251400?
Census tract 17031251400 in the Ridgeland neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031251400?
Median gross rent is $829/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031251400?
31.8% of residents in tract 17031251400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,712.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031251400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 96th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 82th, household 95th, minority 91th, housing 94th.
Q5
Is tract 17031251400 considered part of Ridgeland?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031251400 fall within Ridgeland (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031251400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 1,186 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031251400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.57% of renter households, peaking at 8.4% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031251400 struggle to pay rent?
About 34.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 24.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031251400 compare to Oak Park overall?
Tract 17031251400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Oak Park at 6.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oak Park eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031251400 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Oak Park
Top eight tracts in Oak Park ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Moreland
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Brookdale
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
New Auburn
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Pocket Town
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Central Park
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Motor Row
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Garden Homes
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
South Lynn
8.1
/ 10 · High
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