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Neighborhood · Ranked #7,382 of 84,120 nationally

Central Park Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Tract 17031260400 · Cook County, IL · pop 939 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 8.1/10, tract 17031260400 in the Central Park area of Chicago, IL reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 939 residents. The severe-burden share is 57%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
8.1
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 53% Stable renters 31% Owners 16%
Tract context
Occupied units533
Renter share84.4%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate66.7%
Median income$13,489

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 8 tracts In Central Park
Elevated
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#236 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Elevated
Within county
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#52 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8842, -87.7380 · click any tract to drill in

Why Central Park scores 8.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
66.7% poverty · this tract
10.0
Supply constraint
$1,244 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Central Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Central Park risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.18.1This tracttract 260400Chicago: 6.76.7Chicagoparent cityCounty: 6.16.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.15.1Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 434Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 9.74%Avg annual filing rate
  • 14.1%Peak (2003)
  • 25Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170312604002001: 42 filings (12.35/100 renter HHs)2002: 40 filings (11.76/100 renter HHs)2003: 48 filings (14.12/100 renter HHs)2004: 15 filings (4.41/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (5.49/100 renter HHs)2006: 17 filings (6.23/100 renter HHs)2007: 27 filings (9.89/100 renter HHs)2008: 26 filings (9.52/100 renter HHs)2009: 33 filings (12.09/100 renter HHs)2010: 25 filings (8.39/100 renter HHs)2011: 29 filings (10.28/100 renter HHs)2012: 29 filings (10.28/100 renter HHs)2013: 21 filings (7.45/100 renter HHs)2014: 42 filings (14.89/100 renter HHs)2015: 25 filings (8.87/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 40% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Central Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Central Park

63% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Cook County average of 45.6%. Annualized rent equals 111% of average household income of $13,489, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10.

Housing insecurity runs 48.3% against 14.2% nationally. The poverty rate is 67%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

This is renter territory: 84% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

On the high side, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 21.1% against 11.3% nationally.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 434 filings here across 15 tracked years. At $1,244 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Chicago commands. Filings peaked in 2003 at 14.1% of renter households.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031260400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031260400?

Census tract 17031260400 in the Central Park neighborhood scores 8.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031260400?

Median gross rent is $1,244/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031260400?

66.7% of residents in tract 17031260400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 939.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031260400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 95th, household 71th, minority 100th, housing 56th.
Q5

Is tract 17031260400 considered part of Central Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031260400 fall within Central Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031260400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 434 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031260400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 9.74% of renter households, peaking at 14.1% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 17031260400 struggle to pay rent?

About 48.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 38.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 17031260400 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031260400 scores 8.1/10, higher than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9

Was tract 17031260400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 24% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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