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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Central Park Eviction Risk: Elevated

8 census tracts · pop 21,906 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.6/10 · range 5.8–7.4

Central Park is a black (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Chicago with 8 census tracts and a population of 21,906 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 43% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,091/month sits 24% lower than the Chicago citywide average ($1,440).

Risk score
6.6
Elevated
8 tracts · population-weighted
Central Park vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.0% +98%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,091 -24%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$40,509 -46%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
27.5% +63%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
61.9% +15%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 5.8–7.4

Why Central Park scores 6.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
27.5% below poverty line · Range 4.2–10.0 across tracts
6.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Central Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Central Park: 6.66.6Central ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 5.75.7Parent cityhost cityState: 4.74.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.6 points from 5.8 to 7.4. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Central Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031231500 7.4 5,809 63% $1,133
17031260300 7.1 1,878 70% $880
17031260100 6.8 1,016 54% $608
17031260400 6.8 939 63% $1,244
17031260700 6.7 1,524 74% $1,275
17031260600 6.1 2,398 59% $1,402
17031842100 6 7,110 49% $1,001
17031260200 5.8 1,232 45% $1,181
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 98%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Park

Aggregated across 8 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,521Total filings (sum)
  • 7.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 7.46%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Central Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Park?

Central Park scores 6.6/10 (Elevated tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central Park compare to Chicago overall?

Central Park scores 0.9 points higher than Chicago overall (5.7/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,091 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central Park?

Average gross rent in Central Park is $1,091/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central Park residents are renters?

62% of Central Park households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 21,906 residents.
Q5

Is Central Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Park sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Park is census tract 17031231500 (score 7.4/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 7.4, a spread of 1.6 points.
Q7

How safe is Central Park for landlords?

Central Park carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.6/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (5.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Park?

Central Park has 21,929 residents (Black (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (65.5%), Hispanic / Latino (29.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Park.

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