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Neighborhood · Chicago, IL

Central Park Eviction Risk: High

8 census tracts · pop 21,906 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8/10 · range 7.7–8.1

Central Park is a 8-tract neighborhood of Chicago, IL, population 21,906. Scored across those inputs it reaches 8/10, placing it in the High tier. The severe-burden share is 43%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Cost burden runs 58% against 29.3% citywide, putting Central Park 28.7% over its own city. SNAP participation is 52.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 49.7% of adults, 31.9 points above the national rate.

The clearest offset is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. Set annual rent against average household income of $40,509 and the ratio lands at 32%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

The poverty rate is 28%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. At $1,091 a month, rents sit 24% under what the rest of Chicago commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8/10. Filings are well documented here: 5,521 across 8 observed tracts.

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 7.5/10. Filing activity peaked in 2015 at 16.5% of renter households. Among the 187 mapped neighborhoods of Chicago, it ranks #38 by risk, the upper third.

Judgments average 2.0% of renter households a year, the share of filings that actually convert to an order.

With little internal variation, 8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8
High
8 tracts · population-weighted
Central Park vs Chicago How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
58.0% +98%
Chicago: 29.3%
Average gross rent
$1,091 -24%
Chicago: $1,440
Average HH income
$40,509 -46%
Chicago: $75,134
Poverty rate
27.5% +63%
Chicago: 16.8%
Renter share
61.9% +15%
Chicago: 54.0%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 8 tracts span score 7.7–8.1

Why Central Park scores 8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.5–8.5 across tracts
8.5
Rent control risk
58% of income on rent · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 8.0–8.0 across tracts
8.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Economic stress
27.5% below poverty line · Range 4.2–10.0 across tracts
6.6
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.0 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Central Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central Park score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Central Park: 8.08.0Central ParkNeighborhoodParent city: 6.76.7Parent cityhost cityState: 5.15.1Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 7.7 to 8.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

8 tracts in Central Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
17031231500 8.1 5,809 63% $1,133
17031260600 8.1 2,398 59% $1,402
17031260300 8.1 1,878 70% $880
17031260700 8.1 1,524 74% $1,275
17031260100 8.1 1,016 54% $608
17031260400 8.1 939 63% $1,244
17031842100 8 7,110 49% $1,001
17031260200 7.7 1,232 45% $1,181
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 95

Pop-weighted across 8 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 98%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 85%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 96%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 74%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Central Park

Aggregated across 8 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 5,521Total filings (sum)
  • 7.35%Avg annual filing rate
  • 16.5%Peak year (2015)
  • 7.46%Latest filed (2015)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Central Park

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Park?

Central Park scores 8/10 (High tier) across 8 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central Park compare to Chicago overall?

Central Park scores 1.3 points higher than Chicago overall (6.7/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 29% citywide. Average rent: $1,091 vs $1,440.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central Park?

Average gross rent in Central Park is $1,091/month (pop-weighted across 8 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central Park residents are renters?

62% of Central Park households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Chicago). The neighborhood has 21,906 residents.
Q5

Is Central Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Park sits in the 95th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Park is census tract 17031231500 (score 8.1/10). Across the 8 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.7 to 8.1, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Central Park for landlords?

Central Park carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8/10). Pop-weighted across 8 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chicago as a whole (6.7/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Park?

Central Park has 21,929 residents. Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (65.5%), Hispanic / Latino (29.1%), White (non-Hispanic) (3.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Park

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chicago

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Park.

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