Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #28,095 of 84,120 nationally
Fulton River District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Chicago
Tract 17031280100 · Cook County, IL · pop 7,730 · neighborhood within 0.1 mi
With a score of 5.3/10, tract 17031280100 in the Fulton River District area of Chicago, IL reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 7,730 residents. 21% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far below the Cook County average of 45.6%.
Risk score
5.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 15%
Stable renters 57%
Owners 28%
Tract context
Occupied units5,426
Renter share72.7%
SVI overall0.06
Poverty rate2.5%
Median income$148,319
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
5
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
59
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Chicago and the region
Centroid at 41.8855, -87.6435 · click any tract to drill in
Why Fulton River District scores 5.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
2.5% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,465 rent vs county FMR
9.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5
How Fulton River District compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 6
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 3%Socioeconomic
- 1%Household composition
- 48%Racial/ethnic minority
- 62%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 0%Grade C
- 3%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 395Total filings over 15 yrs
- 5.92%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.0%Peak (2015)
- 51Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 750% over the past 15 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.3%Housing insecurity
- 3.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 5.5%Food insecurity
- 3.5%SNAP enrollment
- 3.9%Transit barriers
- 4.2%No health insurance
- 13.1%Frequent mental distress
- 12.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Fulton River District
At $2,465 a month, rents run 71% over what the rest of Chicago commands. The voucher gap is 40.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, supply constraint reads 9/10. This is renter territory: 73% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
Running hot, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Court records carry 395 eviction filings across 15 observed years.
Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. It sits 0.8 points below the Cook County average of 6.1. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.4% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Filings peaked in 2015 at 2.0% of renter households. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today. In a typical year about 5.9% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 17031280100
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031280100?
Census tract 17031280100 in the Fulton River District neighborhood scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 17031280100?
Median gross rent is $2,465/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 21% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 17031280100?
2.5% of residents in tract 17031280100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 7,730.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 17031280100?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 6th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 1th, minority 48th, housing 62th.
Q5
Is tract 17031280100 considered part of Fulton River District?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031280100 fall within Fulton River District (neighborhood centroid within 0.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031280100?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 395 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031280100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.92% of renter households, peaking at 2.0% in 2015. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 17031280100 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 17031280100 compare to Chicago overall?
Tract 17031280100 scores 5.3/10, lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q9
Was tract 17031280100 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 3% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Chicago
Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · IL
Cragin
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
O'Keeffe
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Forest Hill
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Homan Square
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Mandell
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Canaryville
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Chatham Fields
8.1
/ 10 · High
Tract · IL
Marquette Manor
8.1
/ 10 · High
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