Roosevelt Square Eviction Risk: High , Chicago

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $61,806, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.5/10. Average gross rent is $1,899, 32% above the Chicago average. It sits 2.0 points above the Cook County average of 6.1.

The poverty rate is 28%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 8/10. Running hot, regional political climate reads 7.5/10.

Court records carry 276 eviction filings across 15 observed years. The worst year on record was 2003, when 2.9% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground D ("Hazardous"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 91st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 8.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the IL average is 5.1, so this tract runs 3.0 points hotter.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.