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Neighborhood · Ranked #19,870 of 84,120 nationally

Marshall Square Eviction Risk: Elevated , Chicago

Tract 17031301100 · Cook County, IL · pop 2,409 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

Census tract 17031301100 sits in the Marshall Square neighborhood of Chicago, Illinois. It has a population of 2,409 and an eviction-risk score of 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). 62% of renters here pay 30%+ of their household income on rent, with 24% severely cost-burdened (≥50%). Median gross rent is $1,023/month against a median household income of $44,598 — roughly 28% rent-to-income at the medians.

Risk score
6.0
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 28% Owners 27%
Tract context
Occupied units777
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate13.9%
Median income$44,598

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
25 th percentile
Rank — 25th percentileBottomTop
#7 of 9 tracts In Marshall Square
Low
Within parent city
51 th percentile
Rank — 51th percentileBottomTop
#387 of 792 tracts In Chicago
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank — 66th percentileBottomTop
#454 of 1,331 tracts In Cook County
Elevated
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank — 82th percentileBottomTop
#588 of 3,263 tracts In Illinois
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Chicago and the region

Centroid at 41.8470, -87.6980 · click any tract to drill in

Why Marshall Square scores 6.0

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Chicago
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.5
State political climate
Illinois legislature & governorship
5.2
Economic stress
13.9% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$1,023 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Chicago
5.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
7.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Chicago
8.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Chicago
6.5

How Marshall Square compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Marshall Square risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.06.0This tracttract 301100Chicago: 6.86.8Chicagoparent cityCounty: 5.75.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.45.4Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 84

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C — Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org) — 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 272Total filings over 15 yrs
  • 3.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.1%Peak (2009)
  • 24Filings in 2015 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 — 2015
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 170313011002001: 16 filings (2.74/100 renter HHs)2002: 19 filings (3.25/100 renter HHs)2003: 6 filings (1.03/100 renter HHs)2004: 24 filings (4.11/100 renter HHs)2005: 15 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2006: 14 filings (2.87/100 renter HHs)2007: 15 filings (3.07/100 renter HHs)2008: 17 filings (3.48/100 renter HHs)2009: 25 filings (5.12/100 renter HHs)2010: 24 filings (4.29/100 renter HHs)2011: 19 filings (3.93/100 renter HHs)2012: 15 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2013: 15 filings (3.11/100 renter HHs)2014: 24 filings (4.97/100 renter HHs)2015: 24 filings (4.97/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 15 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Marshall Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Frequently asked

About tract 17031301100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 17031301100?

Census tract 17031301100 in the Marshall Square neighborhood scores 6.0/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

Q2

What is the average rent in tract 17031301100?

Median gross rent is $1,023/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 17031301100?

13.9% of residents in tract 17031301100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,409.

Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 17031301100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 77th, minority 89th, housing 49th.

Q5

Is tract 17031301100 considered part of Marshall Square?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 17031301100 fall within Marshall Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 17031301100?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 272 eviction filings across 15 validated years in tract 17031301100 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 3.54% of renter households, peaking at 5.1% in 2009. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.

Q7

What share of households in tract 17031301100 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats — a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

Q8

How does tract 17031301100 compare to Chicago overall?

Tract 17031301100 scores 6.0/10 — lower than the parent city of Chicago at 6.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Chicago eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Q9

Was tract 17031301100 historically redlined?

Yes — this tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Chicago

Top eight tracts in Chicago ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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